January 14, 20242 yr I stumbled on this Tucker Carlson interview, where he speaks with Dennis Quaid on the risk of Solar Storms. Very interesting. A long watch (45m) but the first 25m is worth it. (00:40) Grid Down, Power Up (25:00) His Favorite Movie (32:18) Dennis Quaid Sings a Song (39:44) Election Worries
January 14, 20242 yr Author Quote While solar storms rarely pose a direct threat to human life, there’s a risk they can impact safety-critical systems via electromagnetic effects — from space-based communications, navigation and weather forecasting services to electrical power distribution at ground level, according to ESA's Space Weather Service Network It’s been conjectured that a storm on the scale of the Carrington event, if it happened today, could cause an internet apocalypse, sending large numbers of people and businesses offline. For this reason, the U.K. government lists adverse space weather as one of the most serious natural hazards in its National Risk Register, and companies have contingency plans to deal with severe events — as long as they have sufficient warning of them. Researchers from Lloyd's of London and the Atmospheric and Environmental Research agency in the U.S. have estimated that a Carrington-class event today would result in between $0.6 and $2.6 trillion in damages to the U.S. alone, according to NASA spaceflight. More information of The Carrington Event: https://www.space.com/the-carrington-event
January 14, 20242 yr Such events have taken place. In the 1980s it did affect the North American power grid. "The accompanying geomagnetic storm was so strong that on that same day it caused a surge on the Quebec power grid and knocked out electricity across the entire Canadian province. " https://www.space.com/24983-auroras-1989-great-solar-storm.html
January 14, 20242 yr Nothing unusual about that, but unfortunately these historic reoccurring events do not fit into the wanted narrative that wishes to make you responsible for climatic changes. The 11 year solar cycle observations started in the 1700s with solar cycle 1. We are now in cycle 25 and the last three cycles have been getting ever weaker and are actually a repeat of the solar cycles in the 1700s during the Maunder minimum, after reaching the maximums in the 1960s-1980s. That is not to say that there won't be intense CMEs even within weaker cycles. But the bigger cycles that run over a 100 years or more also go from high to low and affect the climate globally. These sunspots affect all shortwave communications daily, but when the intense CMEs occur and are ejected directly towards earth then it starts affecting power grids too.
January 15, 20242 yr Author 20 hours ago, zsde said: Nothing unusual about that, but unfortunately these historic reoccurring events do not fit into the wanted narrative that wishes to make you responsible for climatic changes. The 11 year solar cycle observations started in the 1700s with solar cycle 1. We are now in cycle 25 and the last three cycles have been getting ever weaker and are actually a repeat of the solar cycles in the 1700s during the Maunder minimum, after reaching the maximums in the 1960s-1980s. That is not to say that there won't be intense CMEs even within weaker cycles. But the bigger cycles that run over a 100 years or more also go from high to low and affect the climate globally. These sunspots affect all shortwave communications daily, but when the intense CMEs occur and are ejected directly towards earth then it starts affecting power grids too. These are the biggies, the 100 year cycle ones are the Carrington Events. From my home's perspective, I'm not a radio ham, so I don't care to much about the smaller ones. What I am interested in is what I need to do to protect my home system (and home equipment) from the larger ones, which are imminent.
January 15, 20242 yr 3 hours ago, Yellow Measure said: what I need to do to protect my home Switch it off (isolate) when the info becomes available and indications are that it could potentially affect electromagnetic devices. First indications will be Auroras and we are fortunate that we are not subject to the intensity that centre around the magnetic poles due to our distance from them. The areas that are subjected to this most intensely are at high latitudes closer to the magnetic poles and where the Auroras are visible regularly. Looking at the actuals and the forecasts it is at around the max of the last solar cycle and there is no consensus whether its has peaked already or still has to peak. The two dashed read lines indicate the two lines of thoughts. And some more inconvenient facts and data from the past that NASA and NOAA is trying to destroy by erasing the warm periods from the past and simultaneously erasing the fact that solar activity is actually the driver of climate. Now who would have thought that. https://sunspotwatch.com/ Edited January 15, 20242 yr by zsde
January 16, 20242 yr On 2024/01/14 at 11:54 PM, zsde said: Nothing unusual about that, but unfortunately these historic reoccurring events do not fit into the wanted narrative that wishes to make you responsible for climatic changes. 🤣🤣🤣
January 17, 20242 yr I'm leery about this temperature data that gets rolled out by both sides of the climate debate. The last maybe 100 years we have good data, but how does anybody know what the average temperature in 1400 was? Tree rings? (I'm not dismissing that out of hand, I know that they can provide valuable data re the age of some site). The chart provided here seems to be based on volcanic activity and solar radiation. Both are certainly powerful, but are those the only factors driving climate change? I remember a logical fallacy I studied in my student days. It's called Affirming The Consequent. It goes like this. A plane, let's call it the Bob Liner, is known to become unstable at speeds >×650 mph and will lose control and crash. A BobLiner crashes during a flight. Lazy investigator comes to the crash site and says "clearly it exceeded 650 mph." Because that would cause a crash. But going for the convenient explanation rules out any investigation into other possible causes. Edited January 17, 20242 yr by Bobster.
January 17, 20242 yr 2 hours ago, Bobster. said: but how does anybody know what the average temperature in 1400 was This is how they determined it
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.